Sunday, September 20, 2026
Venezuela's Delcy Rodriguez surged 35 points to 44.5% in a $97M market as Trump planned a UN meeting, while US search interest stayed flat at 1-2. Russian election odds reversed sharply as United Russia rebounded to 80.5% on election day, correcting the prior week's opposition momentum.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Tesla Roadster
Still TrendingSearch interest spiked again to 86 on Sept 20, a 900% daily surge, with still no prediction market mirror for the launch timeline.
See previous coverageRussian Election
Major UpdateUnited Russia odds rebounded from 73.5% to 80.5% on election day, reversing the previous 'slipping' narrative. New People fell from 22.7% to 18.5%.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Search Interest: AMD Radeon Spikes 3x While Venezuela Sleeps
AMD Radeon searches spiked to 48 on Sept 20, a 3x jump from baseline, while Venezuela Maduro interest remained flat at 1-2 despite a 35-point prediction market swing.
US-Iran Ceasefire: The Confidence Cliff
Markets price a 97% chance of no US strike on Iran through Sept 20, but probability collapses to a coin-flip 47.5% by Oct 31, pricing in escalating war risk over the next six weeks.
Venezuela Leader Market: Maduro Crashes, Delcy Rodriguez Surges
Maduro's odds cratered from 84% to 33.7% on Sept 20 before recovering to 51.7%, while Delcy Rodriguez spiked from 12.5% to 64.5% and settled at 44.5% on Trump meeting news, a 35-point swing in 48 hours in a $97M market.
Russian Election: United Russia Rebounds to 80.5% on Election Day
United Russia odds recovered from a monthly low of 68% on Sept 6 to 80.5% on Sept 20 election day, a 12.5-point surge that reversed the 'slipping' narrative from earlier in the week.
JD Vance Quietly Claims 51.2% in $706M GOP 2028 Market
JD Vance's nomination odds rose steadily from 47.4% in August to 51.2% on Sept 20, a 3.8-point climb with no corresponding search spike, suggesting informed positioning ahead of public attention.