Daily Signals
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Coins and narratives gaining search attention before they're mainstream — and where attention diverges from price.
Friday, September 4, 2026
Bitcoin cracked $80,000 on a dovish Fed pivot while retail search interest stayed at multi-month lows. Polymarket repriced September $85K odds from 38% to 60% in 72 hours, yet $100K remains a 16-to-1 longshot.
Ongoing Stories(4)
3-Month Price Performance: ETH and SOL Extend Outperformance vs BTC
Still TrendingSOL maintains +50.6% and ETH +41.6% vs BTC +26.4% over three months. BTC broke $80K intraday on Sep 4.
See previous coverageSearch Interest Floor: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana at Multi-Month Lows
Still TrendingAll three majors remain at floor levels: Bitcoin 21, Ethereum 2, Solana 2, even as BTC trades above $80,000.
See previous coverageBitcoin Transaction Accelerators Spike
Still TrendingAccelerator-related queries continue breaking out at +16,250% in daily data, though weekly Trends still reads 0.
See previous coverageThe 'Safe Buy' Signal Fades: Cautious Retail Intent Retreats
Major Update"How to buy bitcoin safely" rebounded to 12 from recent lows of 2-4, suggesting cautious retail intent is flickering back after the $80K breakout.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Polymarket September Bitcoin Price Ladder
With BTC at $80,680, Polymarket prices an 81.5% chance of hitting $82.5K and 59.5% for $85K, but only 6.2% for $100K. A dip to $75K is priced at 46.5%.
3-Month Price Performance: ETH and SOL Extend Outperformance vs BTC
SOL gained 50.6% and ETH 41.6% over three months, outperforming BTC's 26.4% rise. SOL peaked at +58.9% in late August before pulling back to +50.6%. BTC touched $82K intraday on Sep 4.
Search Interest Floor: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana at Multi-Month Lows
Bitcoin search interest sits at 21, Ethereum at 2, and Solana at 2 in the most recent week—all near multi-month floors despite BTC trading above $80,000.
Polymarket Repricing: $85K Odds Surge From 38% to 60% in 3 Days
September $85K Bitcoin probability jumped from 38.5% on Sep 1 to 66% intraday on Sep 4, settling at 60%. $100K odds doubled from 3% to 6.3% on Fed pivot news.
Clarity Act Odds Collapse From 26.5% to 13.5%
Polymarket probability for the Clarity Act passing in 2026 fell from 26.5% in early August to 13.5% by late August, where it has remained despite $12.5M in trading volume.
Key Insights(5)
Previous Crypto Reports
Search interest for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana has collapsed to multi-month lows despite a 20-40% price rally, creating a historic attention-price ...
"How to buy bitcoin safely" searches exploded 18,050% from zero as cautious retail returns, while ETH and SOL maintain 1,400+ basis point outperfor...
Bitcoin transaction accelerator searches spiked 4,750% signaling network congestion, while ETH and SOL maintain 1,300+ bps outperformance...
Crypto regulation searches spiked 900% indicating retail is waking up to policy developments, while ETH and SOL maintain 1,550+ bps outperformance ve...
Search interest in crypto regulation spiked 950% following the SEC's August 18 "Regulation Crypto Assets" proposal, which creates new fundraising exem...
Bitcoin transaction accelerator searches exploded 4,750% signaling network stress beneath the surface, while "how to buy bitcoin safely" hit Breakout ...
Search interest for "how to buy bitcoin safely" broke out to +5000% signaling a new retail education phase, while Polymarket prices just 15% odds of B...
--- **August 27, 2026 Crypto Signal Report Summary** The Factom altcoin anomaly reveals dead-project holder confusion from the Accumulate Network mi...
The "how to buy bitcoin safely" query broke out with 18300% growth signaling cautious retail returning, while ETH and SOL maintain 15-19% outperforman...
Altcoin ETF search interest is up 170% as the Ethereum ETF narrative cools, while Polymarket prices just 18.5% odds for the Clarity Act passing in 202...