Saturday, September 19, 2026
Greenland search interest surged 33x after Trump announced a security deal, while Polymarket odds climbed 8 points to 63.5% for a Sept 23 signing. Trump's White House media ban drove search interest to 100 but markets price further bans at just 12%, treating the move as temporary political theater.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Data Center Moratorium Odds Spike 23 Points
Still TrendingSearch interest for 'data center bill' remains elevated at +300% today, continuing the post-spike attention from Sept 18.
See previous coverageRussian Election Eve: United Russia Slips, New People Rise
Major UpdateElection is tomorrow (Sept 20). United Russia odds have rebounded to 75.5% with $4.7M in 24hr volume, making this the highest-volume event on Polymarket today.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Greenland Deal Probabilities Compress by Deadline
The market assigns a 63.5% chance of a Greenland deal by Sept 23, jumping to 81.5% by Sept 25 and 95.8% by Dec 31. That's a 32.3-point spread between the UN General Assembly and year-end.
Trump Media Ban: More Bans 12%, Unban 45.5%
Markets price further White House media bans at just 12% by Sept 30, while the probability of CNN, Politico, or MS NOW being unbanned by the same date trades at 45.5% — nearly 4x higher.
Greenland Search Interest Spikes 33x on Trump Security Deal News
Search interest for 'greenland' surged from a baseline of 3-5 to 100 on Sept 19, while 'trump greenland' jumped from 0 to 18. Polymarket odds for a deal by Sept 23 rose from 55.5% to 63.5% (+8 points) on the same day.
Trump CNN Ban Search Interest Goes Vertical
Searches for 'trump cnn ban' exploded from 0 to 100 in 48 hours after Trump's Sept 18 announcement, while 'trump bans cnn' hit 67. The Polymarket probability of more bans by Sept 30 sits at just 12% on $328 volume.
Amazon FTC Settlement Searches Spike 50x
'Amazon settlement' searches surged from a baseline of 1-2 to 100 after the FTC announced expanded Prime refunds up to $200 on Sept 17. No active Polymarket exists to price the settlement outcome.