Friday, September 4, 2026
Astra Sept 4 odds crashed 67 points to 21.6% as markets punished the limited enterprise release, while the Clarity Act faded to 12.5% on heavy volume with zero search interest. Democratic nomination markets price AOC at 20% and Ossoff at 15.8% in a primary the public is not yet Googling.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Fed September Decision
Still TrendingMarkets continue to price near-certainty of no rate cut, with 50bps cut at 0.1% and 25bps at 0.5%. Daily volume remains highest on Polymarket at $6.2M.
See previous coverageJD Vance 2028 GOP Nomination Odds
Still TrendingVance holds steady at exactly 50.0% on the Republican nominee market with $585K daily volume, maintaining his position as the invisible frontrunner.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
OpenAI Astra Release Odds by Deadline
Astra release odds form a steep term structure: Sept 4 crashed 67 points to 21.6% after a limited enterprise debut, while Sept 9 holds at 91.6% as markets price a staggered general-public rollout over the next week.
Astra Sept 4 Odds Collapse in 24 Hours
Sept 4 Astra odds collapsed 67 points in 24 hours, from 88.5% to 21.6%, as markets realized the limited enterprise release did not satisfy the 'general public' availability threshold required for resolution.
Clarity Act H.R.3633 Odds vs Flat Public Attention
Clarity Act odds dropped from a recent high of 17.5% to 12.5% on Sept 4 despite $827K in daily volume, while Google search interest for crypto legislation remained near zero for the entire period.
Democratic 2028 Nomination Odds: The Invisible Primary
AOC leads Democratic nomination markets at 20% with Jon Ossoff at 15.8% and Gavin Newsom at 14.1%, yet Google search interest for all three candidates remains effectively zero, indicating an 'invisible primary' driven entirely by informed bettors.
Search Interest: Markets Move While Google Sleeps
Search interest for 'AOC 2028', 'clarity act crypto', and 'gpt 6 astra' all remain near zero despite millions in prediction-market volume and sharp odds movements across all three topics.