Wednesday, October 28, 2026
Netanyahu's odds surged 33 points to 51.5% as vote counting shifted the Israel election outlook, while JD Vance holds steady at 18.2% for 2028 despite search interest collapsing 61%. Democratic sweep odds remain firm at 65.5% as public attention finally spikes.
Ongoing Stories(3)
Israel PM Election
Major UpdateNetanyahu odds surged 33 points from 18.5% to 51.5% as vote counting progressed, while Eizenkot collapsed from 68.7% to 24.9%. Market now prices Netanyahu as slight favorite despite exit poll deadlock.
See previous coverage2026 Midterms Democratic Sweep
Still TrendingOdds remain stable at 65.5% while search interest hit 100 yesterday. Market conviction holding as public attention spikes.
See previous coverage2028 GOP Nomination JD Vance
Still TrendingVance holds 18.2% in presidential odds (not just nomination). Search interest down 61% from peak but odds remain stable, suggesting institutional conviction.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Israel PM Election: Netanyahu's 33-Point Surge vs Eizenkot's Collapse
Netanyahu's odds surged from 18.5% to 51.5% (+33 points) in 24 hours as Eizenkot collapsed from 68.7% to 24.9% (-44 points). Market now prices Netanyahu as slight favorite despite exit polls showing deadlock.
Search Interest: Israel Election Hits Peak Attention
Search interest for 'israel election' hit 100 (peak) on election day Oct 27, up from near-zero a week prior. 'Netanyahu' searches reached 69, while 'Eizenkot' remained virtually unknown (0-1 search index).
2026 Midterms: Market Conviction vs Rising Search Attention
Democratic sweep odds remain stable at 65.5% while search interest for '2026 midterms' hit 100 on Oct 27. Market priced in Democratic control months ago; public attention only now catching up.
2028 Presidential: JD Vance Leads Odds But Search Interest Declining
JD Vance holds 18.2% odds (down from 19.2% peak) but search interest has dropped from 100 on Oct 22 to 39 today. AOC at 13% odds with minimal search interest (1 index).
2028 Presidential Odds: The Field Beyond Trump
JD Vance leads at 18.2%, followed by AOC at 13%, Gavin Newsom at 10.8%, and dark horse Jon Ossoff at 9.4%. Trump collapsed to just 1.6% odds.