Sunday, October 25, 2026
Fed October meeting odds hit 95.5% certainty with virtually zero public search interest, while Bengals-Ravens shows a 6.7-point value gap between Polymarket odds and ESPN Analytics. Democratic sweep odds hold steady at 66.5% despite rising midterm search interest, suggesting institutional conviction ahead of public attention.
Ongoing Stories(2)
2026 Midterms Democratic Sweep
Still TrendingDemocratic sweep odds remain stable at 66.5% with $1.3M in 24-hour volume, showing continued market conviction despite rising search interest.
See previous coverageFed October Meeting
Major UpdateNo-change odds have climbed to 95.5% (up from 87.5% on Oct 19), with cut probability now virtually zero at 0.1% as Kevin Warsh's unpredictable leadership style fails to spook markets.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Bengals vs Ravens: Market Odds vs ESPN Analytics
Polymarket prices Bengals at 58.5% while ESPN Analytics model gives Cincinnati 65.2% win probability, creating a 6.7-point value gap for bettors
Fed October Meeting: No-Change Odds Climb to 95.5%
Market certainty of no rate change increased 2 percentage points from 93.5% to 95.5% over 24 hours, with hike probability collapsing to just 4.5% and cut odds near zero at 0.1%
Search Interest: Fed Rates Flat While Bengals-Ravens Spikes
Bengals-Ravens search interest jumped to 28 (from 11 the prior day) ahead of Sunday's game, while Fed interest rates searches remain near zero despite 95.5% market certainty on outcome
2026 Midterms: Democratic Sweep Holds Steady at 66.5%
Democratic sweep odds (Senate + House) have held in a tight 65.5-66.5% range over the past week, with $37M in total market volume indicating strong conviction
Bengals vs Ravens: Market Odds vs ESPN Analytics
Polymarket prices Bengals at 58.5% while ESPN Analytics model gives Cincinnati 65.2% win probability, creating a 6.7-point value gap for bettors