Friday, October 9, 2026
Nobel Peace Prize odds whipsawed as Navalnaya spiked 51 points then crashed to 21.6% while Kuleba surged to 27.3% ahead of Oslo announcement. Cash App's $15M settlement drove a 1,000% search spike with no market to trade, and Le Pen holds 41% French election odds with zero US search buzz.
Ongoing Stories(1)
Hurricane Isaias Landfall Odds
Winding DownSearch interest remains at peak levels (100) on Oct 9 as Isaias moves inland, though the landfall market has likely resolved after yesterday's 35-point swing.
See previous coverageVisualizations(4)
Nobel Peace Prize Odds Whipsaw on Announcement Day
Navalnaya spiked from 5.2% to 54.2% then crashed to 21.6% within hours, while Kuleba surged from 8.5% to 27.3% on Oct 9 as the Oslo announcement neared.
America Searches for Literature Nobel, Not Peace Prize
Anne Carson search interest hit 100 on Oct 9 amid Literature Nobel buzz, while Nobel Peace Prize queries peaked at only 42 despite $3.4M in 24-hour prediction market volume.
Cash App Settlement and Fort Hood Spikes Find No Market
Cash App settlement searches jumped to 36 on Oct 8 ahead of $15M payouts, while Fort Hood shooter queries hit 100 on Oct 9, with zero prediction markets available for either.
French Election Market Holds Conviction as US Search Sleeps
Marine Le Pen holds 41.2% in prediction markets with $883K daily volume, yet US search interest sits near baseline at 18 while Jordan Bardella barely registers at 4.