Monday, September 14, 2026
The Clarity Act surged 8.5 points to 31% ahead of Tuesday's cloture vote while search interest barely moved, signaling informed money is pricing a legislative breakthrough. Sweden's Andersson odds whipsawed from 64.5% to 88.5% on a razor-thin election margin as overseas votes remain uncounted.
Ongoing Stories(1)
Fed 25bps Hike Odds Spike to 78.5%
Still TrendingOdds have stabilized at 79.5% with the FOMC meeting just 48 hours away on Wednesday, Sept 16. Search interest has cooled from its Sept 11 peak.
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Clarity Act: Market Odds vs Search Interest Divergence
Market odds jumped 14.5 points in two days while 'Clarity Act crypto' search interest rose only 12 points, remaining near historic lows despite the legislative breakthrough.
Sweden Election: Search Interest vs Market Conviction
Search interest for 'Sweden election' exploded 7x to 56 today, but only after market odds had already recovered from their election-day dip to 64.5%.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) Passage Odds
Odds of the Clarity Act becoming law surged from 22.5% to 31.0% on Sept 14, hitting a new monthly high ahead of Tuesday's cloture vote. The market has nearly tripled from its 12% low in late August.
Sweden PM: Magdalena Andersson Odds
Andersson's odds whipsawed on election day, crashing to 64.5% as votes came in, then rebounding to 88.5% today as preliminary results showed a narrow 1-3 seat centre-left lead.
Fed 25bps Hike Probability (Ongoing)
Hike odds have stabilized near 79.5% after a dramatic month-long climb from 25.5%. The FOMC meets Wednesday, Sept 16, with $148M in total volume across Fed decision markets.
Trump $5K Dividend: Search Spike vs Flat Market Odds
'Trump dividend checks' search interest hit a perfect 100 on Sept 13 while Polymarket odds flatlined at 4.9%, showing viral public curiosity with zero betting conviction.