Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Democrat Scott Colom leads Mississippi's Senate race by just 43 votes driving a 64-point odds surge, while Mary Peltola holds a narrow 252-vote lead in Alaska with ranked-choice results pending. The 2026 midterms delivered a Democratic sweep with prediction markets pricing Senate control at 100% certainty despite several races remaining too close to call.
Ongoing Stories(1)
Texas Senate: Democratic Win Probability
Major UpdateMarket now pricing Democrats at effectively 100% to win Texas Senate as election results confirm Talarico victory
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Mississippi Senate: The 64-Point Democratic Surge
Democrat odds surged from 14.5% to 79.0% (+64.5 points) as Scott Colom takes 43-vote lead over Cindy Hyde-Smith. Would be first Democratic Mississippi senator since 1982.
Alaska Senate: Peltola's Tight Race to 86.5%
Mary Peltola's odds climbed from 71.5% to 86.5% (+15 points) but race remains razor-thin with ranked-choice voting still pending. Peltola leads by just 252 votes in initial count.
Maine Senate: Democrats Lock In 100% Victory
Democratic odds climbed steadily from 73.5% to 100% (+26.5 points) as Troy Jackson defeats Susan Collins. Market now pricing complete certainty of Democratic pickup.
Nebraska Senate: Republican Rollercoaster to 100%
Republican odds crashed to 29% during initial results before surging to 100% (+31.5 points). Pete Ricketts holds seat as Dan Osborn's independent bid falls short.
2028 Presidential Search Interest on Election Day
Despite 2026 midterm drama, search interest for 2028 presidential candidates remains minimal. General election interest at 100, while Vance (10), AOC (12), and Newsom (16) show low attention.