Tuesday, October 20, 2026
The 2028 Democratic nomination market has compressed into a three-way statistical tie between Newsom (15.8%), AOC (15.0%), and Ossoff (14.8%), with AOC dropping 3.2 points from her peak while Grenell scandal searches spiked 1000% to 50,000 with zero market access.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Marine Le Pen 2027 French Election Odds
Still TrendingOdds reached 46.0% today, up from 44.9% on Oct 14. The upward trajectory continues with a 9-point gain over the past month.
See previous coverageIsrael PM Race: Eizenkot vs Netanyahu
Still TrendingEizenkot holds steady at 50.0%, maintaining his coin-flip status. Netanyahu remains at 27.5%, a 22.5-point gap.
See previous coverageVisualizations(4)
Search Interest vs Market Odds: Democratic Nominees
Search interest shows Newsom leading public attention (spiked to 100 on Sep 15), while AOC has minimal search presence (0-12) despite similar odds. Ossoff shows moderate interest (peaked at 93 on Aug 17).
2028 Democratic Nomination: Three-Way Statistical Tie
Newsom (15.8%), AOC (15.0%), and Ossoff (14.8%) are in a virtual dead heat. AOC has dropped 3.2 points from her 18.6% peak, while Newsom has remained more stable (range: 12.8%-17.8%).
Marine Le Pen Odds: Steady Climb to 46%
Le Pen's odds rose from 37.0% to 46.0% over the past month (+9 points), peaking at 48.2% on Oct 19. The trend shows consistent upward momentum ahead of the April 2027 French election.
Israel PM Race: Eizenkot Holds Narrow Lead at 50%
Gadi Eizenkot maintains a coin-flip probability at 50.0%, down slightly from 51.5% start and a 54.0% peak on Oct 18. Netanyahu trails at 27.5%, creating a 22.5-point gap.