Friday, October 16, 2026
The Fed October decision market repriced dramatically from 99.9% to 86.5% no-change odds as 25bps hike probability surged to 13.5%, while Tesla's 456% search spike on flying car news exposed a gap in prediction market coverage with no tradable venue for the 200K+ searches.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Marine Le Pen 2027 Election Odds
Still TrendingLe Pen odds reached 47.8% intraday before settling at 46.2%, up from 44.9% yesterday. Search interest remains elevated at 65 after hitting 88 yesterday.
See previous coverageBrazil Election: Flávio Bolsonaro Dominates
Still TrendingFlávio Bolsonaro odds steady at 78.3% (down slightly from 79.5% yesterday). Lula rose to 21.5% from 20.5%. Market continues to price in dynastic succession.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
Bitcoin October Price Targets: $87.5K at 39.5%
Bitcoin $87,500 strike trades at 39.5% probability, while $85,000 has already hit (100%). Market sees limited upside with $90K at just 22.5% and $100K at 1.4%.
Fed October Decision: No Change Odds Drop to 86.5%
Market shifted from 99.9% no change yesterday to 86.5% today, with 25bps hike probability rising to 13.5%. $42M+ volume signals informed money repositioning.
World Series Search Interest Spikes to 100
Search interest for World Series spiked from 35 to 100 today (+186%) as MLB playoffs reach critical stage. Milwaukee Brewers lead prediction markets at 64.8%.
Tesla Search Spikes 456% on Flying Car News
Tesla search exploded from 18 to 100 today (+456%) following flying car/Roadster event news. No prediction market exists to trade this attention spike.
Marine Le Pen Odds Continue Climbing
Marine Le Pen odds climbed from 44% to 46.2% (+2.2 points) with intraday peak at 47.8%. Search interest remains elevated at 65 after hitting 88 yesterday.