Monday, September 28, 2026
Trump's AI rename odds doubled to 43% ahead of the Sept 30 deadline while search interest stayed at zero. Anthropic dominates 2026 AI model markets at 76% versus OpenAI's 8.5% as Chatbot Arena leaderboard data drives informed money.
Ongoing Stories(1)
Trump 'Super Intelligence' Rebrand
Major UpdateNear-term odds surged from 18.5% to 43% in 24 hours as the Sept 30 deadline approaches; year-end odds climbed from 59.5% to 71.5% on continued agency adoption signals
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
AI Model Supremacy: Anthropic Priced at 76% vs OpenAI's 8.5%
Markets price Anthropic 9x more likely than OpenAI to top the Chatbot Arena leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026, with $179K in volume backing the consensus
Public Attention: Anthropic AI vs Ethereum Price Search Interest
Anthropic AI search interest spiked to 88 in late June then collapsed to 15 by Sept 28, while Ethereum price searches peaked at 53 in late August and have since halved to 20
Trump 'Super Intelligence' Rebrand: Near-Term Odds Explode
Sept 30 deadline odds surged from 18.5% to 43% in 24 hours while year-end odds climbed from 59.5% to 71.5%, widening the spread to 28.5 points
Ethereum $3,000 by Dec 31: Market Conviction Fades
Odds slipped from 68.5% to 65.0% over 48 hours as traders quietly reduce exposure to a year-end Ethereum rally
Trump-Putin Meeting by Dec 31: Steady at 75%
Market holds 74.5-76.5% conviction for a Trump-Putin meeting by year-end despite Google search interest flatlining at 0-2, a 35-point attention gap