Monday, September 7, 2026
OpenAI's Astra launch triggered a 48-hour odds spike that fully reversed by Sept 7, while Anthropic dominates AI leaderboards at 85.5% despite 2:1 search interest deficit. In Israel, Gadi Eizenkot holds 51% PM odds with zero US search attention, suggesting traders price local polling invisible to American audiences.
Ongoing Stories(3)
Fed Decision in September
Still TrendingOdds remain in a dead heat: 51.5% no change vs 48.5% 25bps hike, virtually unchanged from Sept 6 coverage.
See previous coverage2026 Men's US Open Winner
Still TrendingCarlos Alcaraz holds at 56.5% after Jannik Sinner's elimination; tournament continues toward Sept 13 final.
See previous coverageDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Still TrendingAOC leads at 18.2% with Newsom at 14.4%; no significant movement in the invisible primary.
See previous coverageVisualizations(4)
AI Model Odds: Anthropic vs OpenAI (Sept 2026)
Anthropic dipped to 79.5% on Sept 4 as OpenAI's Astra release spiked OpenAI to 18.3%, but markets swiftly reversed: Anthropic recovered to 85.5% while OpenAI collapsed back to 11.1% by Sept 7
US Search Interest: Anthropic vs OpenAI
Public attention still favors OpenAI 2:1 (14 vs 6 on Sept 7) despite prediction markets pricing Anthropic's dominance at 85.5%, showing a persistent attention-conviction gap
Israel PM Odds: Eizenkot vs Netanyahu
Gadi Eizenkot has held a steady lead since August, currently at 50.9% vs Netanyahu's 29.5%, with polls showing Eisenkot beating Netanyahu 38-43% to 34-35% in PM preference surveys
US Search Interest: Eizenkot vs Netanyahu
Gadi Eizenkot registers literally zero US search interest across the entire 3-month period, while Netanyahu maintains baseline attention of 10-30, creating a complete information vacuum around the market favorite