Latest Prediction Markets signals

Thursday, July 23, 2026

Fed rate hike odds surged 77% from 13% to 23% in 24 hours while search interest remained flat, signaling informed money positioning for a hawkish surprise at the July 29 meeting. LeBron James to Miami odds declined 5.7 points to 47% despite 7x search interest increase, suggesting market insiders are pricing a different destination with Cleveland at 26% being the overlooked contender. WNBA search interest hit an all-time high of 100 driven by Caitlin Clark, yet zero prediction markets exist to capture this attention gap in women's sports.

13 items|10 trends analyzed|Regions: US

Ongoing Stories(1)

LeBron James Miami Heat Trade Odds

Still Trending

Odds have actually declined from 52% to 47% in the last 24 hours despite increased search interest, creating a divergence between market conviction and public attention.

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Visualizations(5)

2028 Democratic Nomination: Fragmented Field With No Clear Leader

No candidate cracks 20%. Newsom leads at 19.8%, but AOC (14.4%) and Ossoff (14.3%) are within striking distance. The 'Others' category at 34% suggests high uncertainty and potential for dark horse candidates.

Fed Rate Hike Odds Surge 10 Points in 24 Hours

Probability of a +25bps Fed rate hike exploded from 13.2% to 23.4% in 24 hours (a 77% relative increase), while search interest remains flat. Market is pricing hawkish risk ahead of July 29 meeting.

LeBron Miami Odds Diverge From Search Interest

LeBron to Miami odds declined from 52.6% to 46.9% (-5.7 points) while 'LeBron Miami Heat' search interest actually increased 7x from 3 to 22. Market conviction weakening despite rising public attention.

WNBA Search Interest Hits All-Time High

WNBA search interest spiked to 100 today (from 34 yesterday) - nearly 3x increase. Caitlin Clark-related queries driving the surge with 'Sun vs Fever' trending at +1000%. No prediction market exists to capture this attention.

Brazil Election: $114M Market, Zero US Search Interest

Brazilian election market has massive volume ($114M+) with Lula leading at 60.5%, but US search interest is virtually nonexistent (0-10 range). A true 'invisible market' operating completely outside US public attention.

Key Insights(5)

Hypotheses(2)