Sunday, November 1, 2026
Bitcoin search interest crashed 49% in two days while price held $77K, as Polymarket smart money priced the $76K-$78K range as a coin flip and Ethereum search collapsed to 3 despite 86% daily upside odds.
Ongoing Stories(5)
Bitcoin Search-Price Decoupling
Major UpdateBitcoin search interest crashed 49% from 77 to 39 in just two days while price dipped only 4.5%, widening the divergence further.
See previous coverageEthereum Search Interest Collapse vs Price Divergence
Major UpdateEthereum's relative search score hit a new low of 3 on Nov 1, down from 6 on Oct 30, even as price held $2,267 and Polymarket priced 85.5% daily upside odds.
See previous coverageThe Silent Rally Persists: SOL +30% With Search Flat
Still TrendingSolana remains up 33% since August at $95.42, while core crypto search interest stays flat at zero for altcoins.
See previous coverageBitcoin Network Stress Signal: BitTools Accelerator Queries Hit Breakout
Major UpdateThe BitTools accelerator query breakout has returned with even greater intensity at +20,950%, signaling renewed mempool congestion or fee anxiety.
See previous coveragePolymarket Smart Money: Bitcoin Price Confidence for October 30
Still TrendingNov 1 Polymarket data shows smart money pricing BTC $76K-$78K as a 48.6% coin flip with 99.6% confidence above $72K.
See previous coverageVisualizations(5)
BTC Price vs Search Interest: The Widening Gap
Bitcoin price is up 24% since August but search interest has fallen 20% from its August baseline, with a violent 49% two-day crash that price did not follow.
Polymarket Bitcoin Nov 1 Price Distribution
Smart money assigns 99.6% odds that BTC stays above $72K, but the $76K-$78K bracket is a 48.6% coin flip — right where price currently sits — with a slight lean toward $78K-$80K at 51%.
Polymarket Daily Confidence: Bitcoin vs Ethereum
Polymarket traders give Ethereum an 86% chance of closing higher on November 1 versus 76% for Bitcoin, even as retail search interest for Ethereum has collapsed to a relative score of 3.
Q4 Silent Rally Scoreboard: Normalized Asset Performance
Solana leads the Q4 silent rally at +33% since August, followed by Bitcoin (+24%) and Ethereum (+23%), all while combined crypto search interest across all three assets evaporated.
Core Crypto Search Interest Death Spiral (3-Month)
Bitcoin search interest crashed 49% from 77 to 39 in just two days (Oct 30–Nov 1), while Ethereum flatlined at a relative score of 3 and altcoin season remained pinned at zero.