Sunday, September 20, 2026
Solana ETF queries broke out at +90% and +180% while Polymarket odds for SOL hitting $120 surged to 72.5%, even as core crypto search interest remains stuck at multi-month lows despite BTC and ETH rallying 25% and 48%.
Ongoing Stories(2)
Polymarket SOL $120 by Year-End 2026 Odds
Major UpdateOdds surged from 55% to 72.5% over the past week, peaking at 80.5% on September 19 before a slight pullback. SOL price is now $108.49, just 10.6% below the $120 target.
See previous coverageSilent Rally Divergence: Crypto Prices Up, Search Interest Flat
Still TrendingThe divergence persists and has widened for SOL, which is now up 48% over three months with search interest down 57% normalized. ETH remains up 48% with search stuck at 7.
See previous coverageVisualizations(4)
SOL Price vs Solana Search Interest (Normalized, 3-Month)
SOL price climbed 48% from June 20 to September 20, yet Solana search interest is down 57% over the same period, sitting at 42.7 on a normalized scale versus price at 148.3. The divergence widened sharply after SOL broke $100 in late August 2026. Source: Google Trends, Yahoo Finance (2026-06-20 to 2026-09-20).
Polymarket SOL $120 Probability vs SOL Price (Normalized, Jun 22 = 100)
Polymarket odds for SOL hitting $120 by year-end surged from 56% on June 22 to a peak of 80.5% on September 19, before pulling back to 72.5% on September 20. SOL price normalized to 150.9 over the same window, rising from $72 to $108. Probabilities and price track closely, but the late-August probability spike led the price breakout by several days. Source: Polymarket, Yahoo Finance (2026-06-22 to 2026-09-20).
Silent Rally Index: BTC, ETH, SOL (Normalized, 3-Month)
ETH and SOL both rallied 48% over three months, outpacing BTC's 25% gain, yet retail search interest for all three assets remains stuck near multi-month lows. The crowd still isn't searching for the rally leaders despite the gains accelerating since mid-August 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance (2026-06-20 to 2026-09-20).
Core Crypto Search Interest Stuck at Floor (3-Month, US)
Bitcoin search interest sits at 51 on September 20, Ethereum at 7, and altcoin season at 0, all near multi-month lows despite BTC up 25% and ETH up 48% over the same period. Crypto overall ticked up to 50, but remains 30% below June levels. Source: Google Trends (2026-06-20 to 2026-09-20).