Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Search interest in Anthropic's IPO jumped to 19 while OpenAI flatlined at 1, matching Polymarket's 95.9% odds of an Anthropic November debut. Meanwhile, eight more AI "breakouts" including Hermes Agent and Arena AI proved to be phantom rising queries already in decline.
Ongoing Stories(3)
Developer Documentation Interest Just Fell Off a Cliff
Still TrendingDocumentation interest remains at near-zero levels, with developer documentation at 0 and API documentation at 2, confirming the collapse is sustained.
See previous coverageCoding Agent Winter: Interest Down 80%+ From Spring Peaks
Still TrendingAI coding agent interest sits at 1, down 96% from its May peak of 24, while GitHub Copilot has fallen 83% from 70 to 12. The winter continues.
See previous coverageRising Query Graveyard: Phantom Breakouts vs Real Traction
Major UpdateToday's sweep found eight more phantoms, including real projects like Hermes Agent (235k GitHub stars), Arena AI, and Kimi K3. The graveyard now swallows legitimate infrastructure, not just vaporware.
See previous coverageVisualizations(4)
Anthropic IPO Search Interest Surges Past OpenAI
Anthropic IPO interest climbed to 19 by late September while OpenAI IPO flatlined at 1, a 19x divergence that matches Polymarket's 95.9% pricing for Anthropic going public first
The Phantom Graveyard Claims Eight More 'Breakouts'
Hermes AI peaked at 13 in June and crashed to 2, Moltbook hit 40 in February and died to 1, Medvi Quad spiked to 100 in August and fell to 0, while Whisk AI flatlined at 0 after Google's April shutdown
Markets Price Anthropic IPO at 95.9% Before OpenAI
Polymarket probability for Anthropic IPOing first rose from 94.6% to 95.9% over the past week, with November 2026 priced at 69.9% as the most likely month
AI Mode Dwarfs Named Google AI Products in Search
Generic 'AI Mode' interest dwarfs specific products at 71, while Anthropic IPO search interest at 16 has nearly caught Google AI Mode (13) and Google Flow (19)